US cow herd and 2019 calf crop post first year over year decline since 2014

Pork Profit Maximizer – Foodservice Edition July 22, 2019 According to the latest USDA semi-annual ‘Cattle Inventory’ report, released Friday, July 19, the total inventory of cattle and calves as of July 1 was estimated to be 103 million head, unchanged from the previous year and very much in agreement with the average of analyst […]

August hog futures jump on weather risk

Pork Profit Maximizer – Retail Edition July 22, 2019 We have raised our forward projections for hog and pork prices given the higher upside risk from weather conditions currently affecting hog producing regions and renewed speculation about export demand from China. We continue to note that the current environment is highly speculative. On the positive […]

Will Pork Demand Be Sufficient to Reduce Record Supplies?

Pork Profit Maximizer – Foodservice Edition July 8, 2019 The total inventory of all hogs and pigs as of June 1 was estimated at 75.026 million head 3.6% higher than a year ago. This comes in higher than the 3% average expected from the pre-report estimates. This is the largest June inventory of all hogs […]

Pork Supplies to Market Much Higher Than Expected in June

Pork Profit Maximizer – Food Service Edition June 24, 2019 The supply of pork coming to market on a weekly basis so far in June has been far higher than anyone could imagine even a month ago. Note that the chart shows a rolling four week moving average. Last week, pork production was up 16.4% […]

Big Increase in Supply Pushes Pork Prices Lower

Pork Profit Maximizer – Retail Edition June 24, 2019 Earlier in the spring futures markets struck a very bullish tone for the US meat complex, largely based on expectations that a meat supply hole in China would present significant competition for domestic end users. The role of futures markets is to look for supply/demand imbalances […]

Pork Price Forecast Depends on China Purchases

Weekly Pork Price Summary – Food Service Edition May 28, 2019 Pork production in April was estimated at 2.269 billion pounds, 5.9% higher than a year ago. But as with beef, the biggest reason for the increase in production is the extra slaughter day in April.  When adjusted for the number of slaughter days, pork […]

Pork market volatility spikes as trade talks with China hit a snag

Pork Profit Maximizer – Food Service Edition May 13, 2019 Trade talks and tariff outlook is driving volatility not just in the hog futures market but the wholesale pork market as well. In late March and April, pork buyers had to take one glance at the June and July contracts and calculate the potential price increase […]